Research

Ex-Google CEO Calls AI Companies Colonial Trading Firms

Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt and historian Niall Ferguson argue that US and China dominate AI, with other nations dependent on them. The race for AI is driven by financial and geopolitical power, not just technological breakthroughs.

The Decoder · Oct 25, 2026

What happened

  • The US and China have locked up the global AI market.
  • AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are compared to colonial trading firms.
  • The race for AI is driven by financial and geopolitical power.

Why it matters

The analogy of colonial trading firms highlights how AI development has become a geopolitical struggle. The US and China are vying for dominance through capital, resources, and control over technology, with other nations dependent on them. This dynamic could lead to conflict over resources like chips and data, as well as political tensions over AI standards and access.

The Elephant take

🐘 鼋 The analogy of colonial trading firms is a sharp reminder that AI isn't just about code—it's about who controls the resources and infrastructure. OpenAI and Anthropic are not just companies; they're geopolitical tools in a race for dominance, with the stakes higher than ever.

Who should care

  • Tech investors
  • Geopolitical analysts
  • AI developers

What to do next

  1. Monitor AI investment trends in the US and China
  2. Assess geopolitical risks related to AI supply chains
  3. Evaluate the impact of data and resource dependencies on global AI development

Keep in mind

The analysis focuses on the US and China, but other nations' dependence on these powers could shift the balance of power in the AI race.

Read the original reporting at The Decoder ↗